Major Hazards Specialised Centers
European and Mediterranean
Major Hazards Agreement
Accueil ECNTRM Methods of revealing the signs of emergency threat, creation of models of...
Russian Federation

Methods of revealing the signs of emergency threat, creation of models of specific threats to be used by the volunteers in the social networks

Period2018
Partners
Coordinator centre : European Center for New Technologies of Risk Management

Project background

The general aim of the project is to create technology for obtaining expert justified signs of man-made and natural emergency situations, to build models of specific threats to be used in the future to justify the structure of the message about the threat for processing of spatial data, and the overall algorithm of processing volunteers messages about the threats associated with the risk of emergencies.

Most significant achievements

European Center for New Technologies of Risk Management - Russian Federation :
The ECNTRM in 2018 undertook a study on the signs of threat, the regulatory documents that govern the control and supervisory authorities in their activities on prevention of emergencies, characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats, the volunteers opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data. The report also took into account the work of experts in the field.
  • The methodology was designed to provide evidence-based signs on the threat of manmade and natural emergencies, creation of specific threats models to use in the future to justify both the card message structure about the threat in the Collective Data Processing System, and, in general, the algorithm for processing volunteers’ messages about threats, related to the risk of emergencies.
  • For the study, two types of emergencies threats were chosen: forest fires and collapse of buildings and structures, for which there were identified signs of threat thereof.
  • A list was defined of supervisory and regulatory authorities competent to supervise the federal executive bodies, authorities of the Russian Federation subjects, local governments, organisations as well as officials and citizens to implement the established requirements for the prevention of this type of emergency.
  • A list was drafted of regulations that govern control and supervisory agencies in their efforts to prevent emergencies.
  • On the basis of relevant regulations and with expert opinions, a list was defined the primary characteristics of the selected emergencies threat type.
The full report can be accessed here and the PowerPoint Presentation here.

Expected results

Expected results year 1

European Center for New Technologies of Risk Management - Russian Federation :

Specific objectives 2018

  • Defining the primary list of the threat signs.

  • Defining the list of regulatory documents governing control and supervisory authorities in their activities on prevention of emergencies.

  • Obtaining expert opinions on the proposed features of emergency threat.

  • Obtaining characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats.

  • Assessment of the volunteer’s opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data.

Expected results 2018

  • Definition of the signs of threat on the basis of the expert opinions on the proposed features of the subject of threat of emergency.

  • Obtaining characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats.

  • Report on the volunteer’s opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data.

Expected results year 2

Specific objectives 2019

To develop recommendations for obtaining expert justified signs of man-made and natural emergency situations, creating models of specific threats to be used in the future to justify the structure of the message about the threat for processing of spatial data, and the overall algorithm of processing volunteers messages about the threats associated with the risk of emergencies.

Expected results 2019

Recommendations for obtaining expert justified signs of man-made and natural emergency situations. Models of specific threats to be used in the future to justify the structure of the message about the threat for processing of spatial data, and the overall algorithm of processing volunteers messages about the threats associated with the risk of emergencies.

ECNTRM

European Center for New Technologies of Risk Management - Russian Federation



Deliverables year 1

The analytic report on the signs of threat, the regulatory documents that govern the control and supervisory authorities in their activities on prevention of emergencies, characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats, the volunteers opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data.

Deliverables year 2

Recommendations for obtaining expert justified signs of man-made and natural emergency situations, creating models of specific threats to be used in the future to justify the structure of the message about the threat for processing of spatial data, and the overall algorithm of processing volunteers’ messages about the threats associated with the risk of emergencies.

Activities year 1

  • Study the signs of threat.

  • Study the regulatory documents that govern control and supervisory authorities, in their activities on emergencies prevention.

  • Apply for the expert opinions on the proposed features of the subject of threat of emergency.

  • Study characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats.

  • Study the volunteer’s opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data.

Activities year 2

Develop recommendations for obtaining expert justified signs of man-made and natural emergency situations, creating models of specific threats to be used in the future to justify the structure of the message about the threat for processing of spatial data, and the overall algorithm of processing volunteers messages about the threats associated with the risk of emergencies.

European Center for New Technologies of Risk Management - Russian Federation



Deliverables year 1


The analytic report on the signs of threat, the regulatory documents that govern the control and supervisory authorities in their activities on prevention of emergencies, characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats, the volunteers opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data.

Deliverables year 2


Recommendations for obtaining expert justified signs of man-made and natural emergency situations, creating models of specific threats to be used in the future to justify the structure of the message about the threat for processing of spatial data, and the overall algorithm of processing volunteers’ messages about the threats associated with the risk of emergencies.

Activities year 1


  • Study the signs of threat.

  • Study the regulatory documents that govern control and supervisory authorities, in their activities on emergencies prevention.

  • Apply for the expert opinions on the proposed features of the subject of threat of emergency.

  • Study characteristic values of the threat necessary to assess the credibility of threats of emergencies and ranking of threats.

  • Study the volunteer’s opportunities to identify the signs of threats of emergency situations of a certain type by analyzing the proposed spatial data.

Activities year 2


 

Find a project